This has been a challenging period for Microsoft, marked by a series of setbacks and the looming specter of a significant security concern for its Windows user base. As the company navigates through the aftermath of the Recall incident and the fluctuating momentum of its Copilot initiative, the focus remains on the pressing need for users to transition from Windows 10 to Windows 11.
Windows 10 Users Face Urgent Upgrade Warning
With the end of support for Windows 10 approaching, Microsoft has ramped up its efforts to alert the millions still using the older operating system. In June, the company issued a full-screen notification, cautioning users that “end of support for Windows arrives on October 14, 2025; this means your desktop won’t receive technical support or security updates after that date.” This stark reminder has been a wake-up call for many, but whether it has been effective remains to be seen.
Recent reports from Windows specialist Neowin indicate a slight shift in user behavior. As of July 2024, Windows 11 achieved a notable milestone, surpassing the 30% market share for the first time since its launch in October 2021. Statcounter data reveals a year-over-year growth of over 7% for Windows 11, suggesting that some users are beginning to heed the upgrade warnings.
However, the numbers tell a different story. More than twice as many Windows users continue to rely on Windows 10 compared to those who have made the switch to Windows 11, even three years post-launch. The growth trajectory of Windows 11 appears modest, resembling a gentle incline rather than a steep ascent.
As users weigh the benefits and drawbacks of Windows 11, the question arises: is the recent uptick in adoption a genuine trend or merely a temporary blip? The decline of Windows 10, as illustrated by Statcounter’s charts, suggests a slow but steady shift. Yet, the pace of this transition remains concerning.
In the months leading up to the October 2025 deadline, an accelerated migration to Windows 11 is anticipated. Some companies and individual users may opt for extended paid support, while many others will risk operating without official support. This scenario presents a fertile ground for cybercriminals, particularly given the recent spate of blue screen incidents that have captured global attention.
As the deadline approaches, the potential for exploitation by malicious actors increases. Users of Windows 10 may find themselves targeted by scams and phishing attempts, capitalizing on their anxiety regarding the impending end of support. This trend is likely to persist through 2025, creating a precarious environment for those who remain hesitant to upgrade.